May 5, 2025

The Stealth Cost Creeps Killing Your margins

by 
Vividly Team

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The Stealth Cost Creeps Killing Your margins

The Stealth Cost Creeps Killing Your margins
Money Matters
Featured

The price of your “center-of-plate” ingredients are holding steady. Your freight costs haven’t budged. So why is your margin still slipping?

An analysis of 100+ CPG food, beverage and wellness brands reveals the quiet culprits - edge-of-plate components like alternative sweeteners, aluminum cans, and garlic

CPG brands typically catch cost increases on their primary ingredients. But in this turbulent economy, most hits to the bottom line aren’t coming from easily identifiable center-of-plate components. The hits are coming from the edges - from sneaky cost drivers hidden in flavorings, sweeteners, base oils and packaging. 

Goodbye Excel. Hello Vividly.

Discover a new vision for trade

Goodbye Excel. Hello Vividly.

Discover a new vision for trade

Goodbye Excel. Hello Vividly.

Discover a new vision for trade

Goodbye Excel. Hello Vividly.

Discover a new vision for trade

Discover a new vision for trade

At first glance, the impact on your COGs might seem negligible. But with the trade war between China and the U.S. escalating, some of these “minor” components now carry major price increases - as high as 145%. Add that to spiking packaging costs, and you’ve got a significant threat to your ROI in play.  

In an analysis of 100+ CPG brands, here were some of the surprise profit killers:

Hidden Ingredient Costs in 2025 

To turn tariff uncertainty into market confidence, be sure you know which components are taking a bite out of your bucks. Here are some of 2025’s sneakiest price drivers: 

  • Stevia, monkfruit, erythritol and other alternative sweeteners (145% tariff). Alternate sweeteners may make up a relatively small percentage of COGS, but they now represent an outsized risk to margin. Many health-forward snacks and beverages stake their market share on being low-sugar or sugar free — and the vast majority of alternative sweeteners are imported from China, with a current tariff of 145%. Beverage companies using alternative sweeteners that also rely on tariffed aluminum cans for packaging are especially at risk for compounding costs.  
  • Garlic + ginger (145% tariff). Something these delicious staples have in common, other than being crucial ingredients in sauces and seasonings? Both garlic and ginger imported to the U.S. are primarily supplied by China - 60% of all ginger, and 70-80% of all garlic. These flavor drivers are turning into cost drivers, with a 145% tariff price hike. Some brands selling ginger-based products are even experiencing massive supply chain disruption and even layoffs
  • Specialized health ingredients (145% tariff). “Better for you” food and beverage brands have flourished in the U.S. in the last decade. Being healthy has never tasted so great! But a lesser known fact? Many of the specialized ingredients needed to make these products - vitamins, essential oils, health supplements, dietary fibers, adaptogens, wheat gluten, mushroom powder - are sourced from China. With new 145%+ tariffs, natural snack and health product companies relying on imported novel ingredients are at risk. 

Goodbye Excel. Hello Vividly.

Discover a new vision for trade

Goodbye Excel. Hello Vividly.

Discover a new vision for trade

Goodbye Excel. Hello Vividly.

Discover a new vision for trade

Goodbye Excel. Hello Vividly.

Discover a new vision for trade

Discover a new vision for trade

Packaging: The Profit Killer Lurking in Every SKU

One cost creep is stealthily impacting nearly fifty percent of CPG companies — packaging. Aluminum cans, steel trays, glass bottles, plastic film: these integral CPG components are getting pricier fast. 

Though packaging-related price increases may be just a few cents per unit, across millions of units, they’re adding up to millions of lost dollars industry-wide.

As of March 2025, Section 232 metal tariffs have raised the U.S.’s global tariff on aluminum and steel to 25%.  Craft beverage companies and legacy brands alike saw meaningful upticks in CPU as anything packed in cans increased overnight in cost. Meanwhile, tariffs on China are amplifying the price of glass and plastic packaging. 

Goodbye Excel. Hello Vividly.

Discover a new vision for trade

Goodbye Excel. Hello Vividly.

Discover a new vision for trade

Goodbye Excel. Hello Vividly.

Discover a new vision for trade

Goodbye Excel. Hello Vividly.

Discover a new vision for trade

Discover a new vision for trade

Where is this causing the most cost creep for CPG brands?

  • Aluminum cans: Brands that sell soda, beer, sparkling water, canned water and canned foods are feeling the pinch. Sparkling water and canned water companies are especially impacted, because packaging constitutes a higher percentage of their CPUs. 
  • Steel lids and trays: Formerly worry-free elements, they’re now packaging extra cost into every unit.  
  • Glass bottles and jars: Many CPG brands rely on imported glass for their food, beverage and health products; some brands are now are choosing to shuffle their supply chain in order to resource their glass packaging.
  • Plastic packaging from China, like bottles, films and caps: With tariffs on plastic reaching up to 159%, brands relying on cheap plastic from China for their packaging are having to absorb the surge in the CPU, or pass it to consumers.

Packaging costs aren’t optional inputs. They’re part of every unit your brand ships. A few cents per package, multiplied across millions of units can quietly erase millions in profit.

Why This Matters More Than Ever

With sweeping trade changes nearly every week, continued inflation, and tightening retail resets, your brand’s promo ROI can be wiped out by even a 2% increase in the cost of goods. If you’re not modeling how the impacts of tariffs on packaging and minor ingredients are affecting your cash flow, you’re guessing — not planning. 

The good news? Brands can still survive AND thrive — as long as they have the right tools.

Goodbye Excel. Hello Vividly.

Discover a new vision for trade

Goodbye Excel. Hello Vividly.

Discover a new vision for trade

Goodbye Excel. Hello Vividly.

Discover a new vision for trade

Goodbye Excel. Hello Vividly.

Discover a new vision for trade

Discover a new vision for trade

Where Vividly Makes the Difference

Vividly doesn’t just track your trade spend in real-time, with easy to understand analytics. With our tools, your brand can forecast trade spend down to the SKU.  You’ll have instant clarity about the major impact that “minor” changes can make to your ROI. 

Freaking out about fluctuating packaging costs and pesky garlic price hikes? Not with us on your team. Whether it’s a 145% spike in ginger prices or a 25% increase in the cost of your aluminum cans, Vividly protects you with:

  • Real-time scenario modeling. Visualize the impact of new tariffs on your trade ROI before they hit your P&L.

  • Promotional outcome simulators. Quickly and easily simulate how new COGS will affect your promo outcomes. Easily crunch the numbers as you prepare for a supply chain change, or anticipate a new tariff.

  • Dynamic P&L visibility. Don’t waste precious time trying to get the whole team on the same page - especially when that page is changing radically from day to day. Dynamic visibility empowers you to adjust plans across channels with full financial visibility.

Because in 2025, “low tariff exposure” doesn’t mean low risk. And what you don’t see, you can’ t prepare for - until it’s too late. 

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